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Bush Courts Blue Dog Democrats -- but Maybe 6 Years too Late

WASHINGTON (By Edward Epstein, San Francisco Chronicle) December 13, 2006 — Hoping to avoid a lame-duck final two years in the White House, President Bush is openly wooing moderate and conservative Blue Dog and New Democrat Coalition House Democrats as potential allies on a variety of issues as their party prepares to take control of Congress in January.

But the president's effort is running up against a major obstacle. The Democrats he has targeted for cooperation are the same lawmakers who are most critical of the huge budget deficits and increased national debt that have been amassed during Bush's six years in the presidency. They also want major changes in Bush's Iraq policy and have pledged their support for Democratic Speaker-to-be Nancy Pelosi's "six for '06'' platform of major legislative items that she will push in the early days of the new Congress.

Bush met with leaders of the 44-member Blue Dog Coalition and the 62-member New Democrat Coalition at the White House last Friday, at his invitation, and all pledged to try to cooperate in the new Congress. But beneath the surface, the tension and the Democrats' pique at being ignored by the Bush White House until now were obvious.

"It was productive,'' Rep. Mike Ross, D-Ark., a Blue Dog leader, said after the session that lasted almost an hour. "It was a good first step toward opening a line of communication.

"But it took losing control of the House to make him do it.''

Rep. Mike Thompson, D-St. Helena, a Blue Dog member who wasn't at the White House session, said the deficit-hawk Blue Dogs have a basic problem with Bush when he talks about controlling government spending and defending his tax cuts for the richest Americans.

"You don't have to look beyond the growth in the national debt and the federal deficit to see he isn't being totally honest,'' Thompson said.

The conservative Blue Dogs are positively deficit-obsessed. In the public corridors outside their House offices, they post bulletin boards listing the total federal debt, $8.648 trillion, up from $5.63 trillion when Bush took office, and each American's share of the current debt, roughly $29,000.

Under Bush, the net cumulative federal budget deficit has totaled about $1.38 trillion, although it has fallen significantly this year.

The Blue Dogs have a 12-point plan for "fiscal responsibility and accountability'' that Ross said he presented to the president, who seemed interested even though in six years he has never vetoed spending bills, which have helped raise federal spending apart from Social Security from $1.86 trillion in 2001 to $2.65 trillion currently.

The budget surpluses of Democratic President Bill Clinton's last years have turned into large deficits.

"We have to begin to return to the surplus that President Clinton left us with,'' said Ross, whose group has endorsed the Democratic leadership's plan to return to "pay-go'' budgeting, which aims to fund the federal budget without boosting the deficit.

That probably would involve either spending cuts or higher taxes. But Democrats say they don't want to raise personal income taxes except on the very richest Americans who have benefited the most from the Bush tax cuts.

Other issues in which Bush said he hoped to find common ground with the Democrats included immigration, budget reform and Social Security, although Democrats across the board shun Bush's proposal for privatizing Social Security.

The New Democrats, chaired by Rep. Ellen Tauscher, D-Walnut Creek, came away from the meeting pledging to give bipartisanship a whirl, but also took a dig at the White House.

"This should be the beginning of a broader White House effort to get reacquainted with the Democrats in Congress after neglecting regular consultation over the past six years,'' the group said in a statement.

The New Democrats want to make U.S. businesses more competitive worldwide, and both groups stress energy independence.

Pelosi, the Democratic leader, said she wasn't concerned about the House Democrats trooping up to the White House to meet with the president.

If the president invites you to the White House, you go, said Pelosi, who attended a separate Cabinet Room meeting with Bush on Friday.

"I'm very confident in the soundness of the Blue Dog commitment to the Democratic caucus,'' she said. "The Democratic unity that we have from right to left in our caucus is something we're very proud of.''

White House spokesman Tony Snow said the Democrats were invited as part of a Bush outreach effort that began after Republicans lost both houses of Congress and has intensified since the Iraq Study Group's report last week called for major changes in Bush's Iraq war policy.

"He's going to do what presidents do in a time like this, which is try to build support and build consensus for important initiatives,'' Snow said.

Ross said he told Bush that things must change sharply in Iraq. "I made it clear that the American people want a new direction in Iraq,'' he said.

The war looms as an overarching issue for the new Congress, especially for the budget hawks. Bush is expected to propose another special war spending bill early in 2007, probably for more than $100 billion.

The Blue Dogs and the New Democrats have criticized these supplemental war spending bills because the measures don't get the same kind of congressional oversight as regular spending bills and because Bush has refused to offset them with spending cuts elsewhere in the budget or by raising revenues to pay for the war.

 


Jon Garrido, President, The Blue Dogs of the National Democratic Party

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