WASHINGTON (By
Steven Greenhouse,
NYTimes)
August 1, 2007
— Union leaders say they are
so happy with the Democratic presidential aspirants, though unsure of
whom to support, that they are unlikely to endorse any of them before
the primaries next year.
If the unions do delay throwing
their weight behind any candidate early in the campaign, it would be
particularly frustrating to former Senator John Edwards of North
Carolina.
Mr. Edwards has vigorously
courted unions, hoping to win the coveted A.F.L.-C.I.O. endorsement and
the accompanying organizational backing, especially in the first states
to vote.
One-third of Democratic caucus
goers in Iowa came from union households in 2004, and one-quarter of
voters in the New Hampshire Democratic primary were from union
households.
The A.F.L.-C.I.O. is unlikely to
endorse Mr. Edwards or anyone else before the primaries, several labor
leaders said last week, because unions are so divided over the
candidates.
Several unions that like Mr.
Edwards are wary of endorsing him because he lags well behind Senators
Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama in the polls.
“There’s a pretty strong
sentiment across the labor movement for Edwards,” Steve Rosenthal, a
former political director of the A.F.L.-C.I.O., said. “But I think some
unions are a little leery of endorsing him without more evidence that he
can win.”
Another reason many unions are
hesitating to endorse a candidate is their overall happiness with the
eight hopefuls. Several back universal health coverage, a major union
goal. All have endorsed labor’s main legislative priority, a bill that
would make it easier to unionize workers.
“This is a pro-worker field of
dreams,” said Bruce Raynor, president of Unite Here, which represents
hotel, restaurant and apparel workers. “The field is much better from a
worker’s standpoint than it was four years ago.”
Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Obama are
wooing unions partly to prevent Mr. Edwards’s securing the A.F.L.-C.I.O.
endorsement and partly to pick up individual union endorsements for
themselves. Mr. Obama has repeatedly campaigned on behalf of a
unionization drive at Resurrection Health Care’s nine facilities around
Chicago.
The A.F.L.-C.I.O. endorsement is
prized because it opens the door to major union contributions and to
support from the federation’s political program, which contacted 13
million members of unions and union households in the 2006 campaign.
The political director of the
federation, Karen Ackerman, said that thanks largely to the A.F.L.-C.I.O.
efforts, 74 percent of union members voted for union-backed candidates
in the Congressional elections last year.
Edwards most
aggressive
Mr. Edwards
has been by far the most aggressive in wooing labor. He spent a day in
April working alongside a nursing home worker at the behest of the
Service Employees International Union , and he has marched alongside
striking Goodyear workers.
“If our board voted today, it
would be leaning toward Edwards,” Leo Gerard, president of the United
Steelworkers, said. “He showed up at a Goodyear picket line. He just
called and said, ‘I’ll be there.’ That kind of stuff really rings home
with our members.”
Mr. Gerard said his union would
respect the A.F.L.-C.I.O. policy that its 55 member unions not endorse
anyone until the federation decided whether it would make an overall
endorsement. The Democratic candidates are scheduled to participate in
an A.F.L.-C.I.O.-sponsored debate on Aug. 7 in Chicago. The federation
said it was expecting 15,000 union members to attend the debate, at
Soldier Field.
The president of the federation,
John J. Sweeney , said the earliest it would endorse anyone would be
late October. Mr. Sweeney said he doubted that any candidate could
muster the requisite two-thirds support.
He cautioned against any rush,
saying many unions acted too hastily in endorsing Howard Dean and
Richard A. Gephardt in 2004, only to see those candidacies flounder
early in the primaries.
“There’s merit to delaying,
because there are so many good candidates,” Mr. Sweeney said. “We’re
seeing a very different attitude this time around. We learned from the
last time that we had better be sure that when we endorse we’re
supporting the candidate our members want to support. And there’s also
an interest in backing a candidate who can win.”
Gerry McEntee, president of the
American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees ,
acknowledges having learned a lesson in endorsing Mr. Dean.
“We made a big error,” Mr.
McEntee said. “The error was that to a large extent it was a leadership
decision made without a deep enough effort to see how our members really
felt.”
Mr. Edwards and the other
candidates are also seeking the endorsement of Change to Win, a rival
federation made up of the service employees, the Teamsters and five
other unions that left the A.F.L.-C.I.O.
The president of Change to Win,
Anna Burger, said her group would probably not make a pre-primary
endorsement. Ms. Burger also counseled against any rush to endorse a
particular candidate, saying it might discourage other candidates from
speaking out on workers’ issues.
“We should give them space” she
said.
Andrew L. Stern, the service
employees’ president, also suggested that his group was in no hurry to
endorse.
“This time, Edwards has done the
most to win our support, but Senators Clinton and Obama, they’re not
going to let Edwards sneak by them,” Mr. Stern said. “It’s like Roller
Derby. We’re waiting for someone to break from the pack. We’re getting
closer, but there’s no particular clarity.”
If neither labor federation
endorses, that would open the door to individual unions’ endorsements.
Union leaders said that the American Federation of Teachers and the
Office and Professional Employees International Union were leaning
toward Mrs. Clinton and that Unite Here, the Teamsters and the
steelworkers were leaning toward Mr. Edwards. A Unite Here endorsement
would be a boon in Nevada, because its Las Vegas local has 40,000
members and could dominate that state’s Democratic caucuses.
Two big unions, the service
employees and the state, county and municipal employees, might be too
torn to endorse anyone. Their locals in Illinois are enthusiastic about
Mr. Obama. Several of their locals in New York favor Mrs. Clinton.
“There’s a certain amount of rooting for the home team,”
Ms. Burger said.